Bijan Robinson Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Bijan Robinson

NFL · Player Props

Bijan Robinson

RB · Atlanta Falcons

Receptions

Atlanta Falcons vs Houston Texans · Week 5, 2023

Updated Oct 8, 2023 4:01 PM UTC

Analysis

Bijan Robinson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-175/+145).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is expected by the predictive model to have 130.4 plays on offense run: the 4th-most among all games this week.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
In this week's contest, Bijan Robinson is forecasted by our trusted projection set to secure a spot in the 98th percentile among RBs with 6.1 targets.
Bijan Robinson has been a big part of his team's pass game, posting a Target Share of 19.6% this year, which ranks in the 100th percentile among running backs.
With an impressive 4.8 adjusted receptions per game (100th percentile) this year, Bijan Robinson places among the top pass-game RBs in football.

Favors Under

Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Falcons to pass on 53.2% of their plays: the 3rd-lowest rate among all teams this week.
Opposing QBs teams have been wary to rely on the passing game too much against the Texans, totaling the 8th-fewest attempts in football (a mere 34.0 per game) this year.

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