My Account Log Out
 
 
Bijan Robinson

Bijan Robinson Receptions
Player Prop Week 15

Carolina Panthers vs Atlanta Falcons

 
 
 
Bijan Robinson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-155/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -155.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects the Atlanta Falcons to call the most total plays on the slate this week with 67.4 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
  • The 4th-largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Falcons this year (a colossal 61.2 per game on average).
  • With a remarkable 68.1% Route Participation Rate (97th percentile) this year, Bijan Robinson has been as one of the pass-catching RBs with the biggest workloads in the NFL.
  • The leading projections forecast Bijan Robinson to accumulate 4.8 targets in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 90th percentile among RBs.
  • The Atlanta O-line profiles as the 10th-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a positive influence on all pass game stats across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Falcons to pass on 46.8% of their plays: the lowest rate on the slate this week.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 30.5 pass attempts per game versus the Carolina Panthers defense this year: 2nd-fewest in the NFL.
  • Bijan Robinson grades out as one of the most hard-handed receivers in football among RBs, completing a measly 69.4% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, grading out in the 7th percentile.
  • The Panthers pass defense has yielded the 5th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (76.9%) vs. running backs this year (76.9%).

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2022 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™