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Bijan Robinson

Bijan Robinson Receptions
Player Prop Week 13

New York Jets vs Atlanta Falcons

Bijan Robinson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-146/+114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +128 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Falcons are anticipated by our trusted projection set to run 66.6 plays on offense in this game: the 5th-most among all teams this week.

The Falcons have called the 6th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a monstrous 61.5 plays per game.

Bijan Robinson has run a route on 66.7% of his offense's dropbacks this year, putting him in the 97th percentile when it comes to running backs.

In this contest, Bijan Robinson is projected by the projections to secure a spot in the 89th percentile when it comes to RBs with 4.6 targets.

The Falcons offensive line grades out as the 9th-best in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive influence on all passing attack stats across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The leading projections forecast the Falcons to be the least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 49.8% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

Opposing offenses have averaged 33.0 pass attempts per game against the New York Jets defense this year: 5th-fewest in football.

With a lackluster 69.2% Adjusted Catch Rate (10th percentile) this year, Bijan Robinson rates among the most unreliable receivers in the NFL when it comes to RBs.

As it relates to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, New York's LB corps has been great this year, ranking as the best in the league.

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