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Bijan Robinson

Bijan Robinson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Washington Commanders vs Atlanta Falcons

 
 
 
Bijan Robinson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-110/-118).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 20.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 20.5 @ -118.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This week's line indicates a throwing game script for the Falcons, who are -3.5-point underdogs.
  • Bijan Robinson has run a route on 64.8% of his team's passing plays this year, ranking him in the 100th percentile when it comes to RBs.
  • The model projects Bijan Robinson to garner 4.0 targets in this week's game, on balance, placing him in the 87th percentile when it comes to RBs.
  • Bijan Robinson ranks as one of the top pass-catching running backs this year, averaging an impressive 29.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 95th percentile.
  • Bijan Robinson's 93.6% Adjusted Completion% this season shows an impressive progression in his pass-catching talent over last season's 69.8% figure.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Falcons to pass on 51.1% of their plays: the 4th-lowest clip on the slate this week.
  • Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Falcons are projected by our trusted projection set to run just 63.7 offensive plays in this contest: the 6th-lowest number on the slate this week.
  • The weatherman calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.
  • Opposing offenses teams have been disinclined to lean on the pass against the Washington Commanders, averaging the 3rd-fewest attempts in football (a measly 30.5 per game) this year.
  • In regards to air yards, Bijan Robinson grades out in the measly 8th percentile among RBs this year, averaging just -4.0 per game.

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