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Bijan Robinson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-135/-105).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -135.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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The projections expect this game to have the 3rd-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 131.2 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.The Falcons have run the 7th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a monstrous 62.0 plays per game.The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may slide.With an impressive 67.6% Route% (97th percentile) this year, Bijan Robinson rates among the pass-catching RBs with the biggest workloads in the NFL.In this contest, Bijan Robinson is predicted by the model to place in the 95th percentile among RBs with 5.1 targets.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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This week's spread indicates a rushing game script for the Falcons, who are favored by 3.5 points.The model projects the Atlanta Falcons to be the 4th-least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 53.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.This year, the formidable Minnesota Vikings defense has surrendered a feeble 25.0 adjusted receiving yards per game versus opposing RBs: the 6th-best in the NFL.As it relates to safeties in covering receivers, Minnesota's collection of safeties has been outstanding this year, projecting as the 3rd-best in the league.
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