Bijan Robinson Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Bijan Robinson

NFL · Player Props

Bijan Robinson

RB · Atlanta Falcons

Receiving Yards

Atlanta Falcons vs Houston Texans · Week 5, 2023

Updated Oct 8, 2023 5:01 PM EST

Analysis

Bijan Robinson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 27.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 26.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is expected by the predictive model to have 130.4 plays on offense run: the 4th-most among all games this week.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
In this week's contest, Bijan Robinson is forecasted by our trusted projection set to secure a spot in the 98th percentile among RBs with 6.1 targets.
Bijan Robinson has been a big part of his team's pass game, posting a Target Share of 19.6% this year, which ranks in the 100th percentile among running backs.
With a remarkable 33.0 adjusted receiving yards per game (98th percentile) this year, Bijan Robinson rates among the best pass-catching RBs in football.

Favors Under

Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Falcons to pass on 53.2% of their plays: the 3rd-lowest rate among all teams this week.
Opposing QBs teams have been wary to rely on the passing game too much against the Texans, totaling the 8th-fewest attempts in football (a mere 34.0 per game) this year.
Bijan Robinson has accrued a measly -8.0 air yards per game this year: a lowly 9th percentile when it comes to RBs.

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