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Bijan Robinson

Bijan Robinson Carries
Player Prop Week 7

Atlanta Falcons vs Seattle Seahawks

Bijan Robinson Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-140/+108).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ +116 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ +108.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A rushing game script is suggested by the Falcons being a 3-point favorite in this game.

The model projects this game to see the 2nd-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 135.1 plays, given the play styles of each team and game dynamics.

The projections expect Bijan Robinson to garner 14.0 carries in this game, on average, putting him in the 81st percentile among running backs.

Bijan Robinson has been a more important option in his offense's running game this year (61.2% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (41.7%).

The Seattle Seahawks safeties grade out as the 30th-worst collection of safeties in the NFL this year with their run defense.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects the Falcons to be the 7th-least run-focused offense among all teams this week with a 39.1% run rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

The air attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may suffer.

More Bijan Robinson Player Props

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