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Bijan Robinson

Bijan Robinson Carries
Player Prop Week 17

Washington Commanders vs Atlanta Falcons

Bijan Robinson Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Falcons to run on 48.9% of their chances: the 4th-greatest clip among all teams this week.

The weatherman calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.

This week, Bijan Robinson is forecasted by the model to secure a spot in the 92nd percentile among RBs with 19.0 carries.

After taking on 41.7% of his offense's carries last season, Bijan Robinson has been called on more in the ground game this season, now comprising 63.9%.

The Washington Commanders defensive tackles project as the 6th-worst collection of DTs in the league this year in regard to run defense.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This week's line indicates a throwing game script for the Falcons, who are -3.5-point underdogs.

Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Falcons are projected by our trusted projection set to run just 63.7 offensive plays in this contest: the 6th-lowest number on the slate this week.

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