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Bijan Robinson

Bijan Robinson Carries
Player Prop Week 14

Minnesota Vikings vs Atlanta Falcons

Bijan Robinson Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-102/-128).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ -122 before it was bet down to 16.5 @ -128.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is forecasted by our trusted projection set to have 130.0 offensive plays called: the 5th-highest number out of all the games this week.

In this week's game, Bijan Robinson is anticipated by the model to find himself in the 86th percentile among running backs with 16.2 carries.

After taking on 41.7% of his team's rush attempts last season, Bijan Robinson has played a bigger part in the ground game this season, currently sitting at 63.8%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A passing game script is implied by the Falcons being a -6-point underdog in this week's contest.

The leading projections forecast the Atlanta Falcons as the 8th-least run-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 38.0% run rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

The passing games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may go down.

The Vikings safeties project as the 3rd-best group of safeties in the league this year with their run defense.

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