Bijan Robinson Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-105/-125).
Key Factors
Favors Over
The model projects the Falcons as the most run-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 49.3% run rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
The Atlanta Falcons have called the 5th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a staggering 62.0 plays per game.
Among all running backs, Bijan Robinson grades out in the 78th percentile for carries this year, accounting for 38.3% of the workload in his offense's rushing attack.
The Atlanta Falcons O-line grades out as the 2nd-best in the NFL last year in run-blocking.
Favors Under
Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Atlanta Falcons are predicted by our trusted projection set to run only 61.5 offensive plays in this game: the 5th-fewest among all teams this week.
The Tennessee Titans safeties profile as the 3rd-best safety corps in football this year when it comes to run defense.