Bijan Robinson Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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Bijan Robinson

NFL · Player Props

Bijan Robinson

RB · Atlanta Falcons

Carries

Detroit Lions vs Atlanta Falcons · Week 3, 2023

Updated Sep 24, 2023 11:31 PM UTC

Analysis

Bijan Robinson Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons as the 3rd-most run-centric offense on the slate this week with a 47.1% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Bijan Robinson to accrue 13.6 rush attempts in this week's game, on average, ranking in the 77th percentile among RBs.
The Atlanta Falcons offensive line ranks as the 2nd-best in the NFL since the start of last season at run-game blocking.

Favors Under

The Falcons are a 3-point underdog in this game, which points towards a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons offense as the 10th-most sluggish paced team in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 28.50 seconds per play.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
The Detroit Lions safeties rank as the 4th-best collection of safeties in the league since the start of last season when it comes to stopping the run.

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