Bijan Robinson Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Bijan Robinson

NFL · Player Props

Bijan Robinson

RB · Atlanta Falcons

Carries

Atlanta Falcons vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Week 14, 2023

Updated Dec 10, 2023 8:21 PM UTC

Analysis

Bijan Robinson Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-130/+100).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The projections expect the Falcons to be the 7th-most run-focused offense among all teams this week with a 46.9% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The projections expect the Atlanta Falcons to run the 4th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 67.2 plays, accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
The Falcons have run the 5th-most plays in football this year, totaling a monstrous 61.2 plays per game.
In this week's game, Bijan Robinson is predicted by the projections to land in the 84th percentile when it comes to RBs with 15.5 carries.
Out of all RBs, Bijan Robinson grades out in the 79th percentile for carries this year, accounting for 42.1% of the workload in his team's ground game.

Favors Under

The pass games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.

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