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Ben Skowronek

Ben Skowronek Receptions
Player Prop Week 2

Los Angeles Rams vs Atlanta Falcons

Ben Skowronek Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-185/+140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -170 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -185.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Rams to be the 7th-most pass-centric offense in the league (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 64.0% pass rate.

THE BLITZ projects the Rams to call the 4th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 65.7 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.

THE BLITZ projects Ben Skowronek to be a more important option in his team's passing game this week (12.2% projected Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (5.5% in games he has played).

The Los Angeles Rams O-line ranks as the 5th-best in the NFL since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a strong effect on all passing game metrics across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Rams are an enormous 10.5-point favorite in this game, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.

The Los Angeles Rams have run the 10th-least plays in football since the start of last season, averaging a mere 61.4 plays per game.

Ben Skowronek has been among the bottom wide receivers in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging just 1.3 receptions per game while grading out in the 22nd percentile among wide receivers.

The Atlanta Falcons defense has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks a measly 2.43 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 9th-quickest in the league since the start of last season.

The Atlanta Falcons have stacked the box vs. opponents on just 11.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 6th-least in the league. Choosing not to position an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

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