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Ben Skowronek

Ben Skowronek Receptions
Player Prop Week 15

Green Bay Packers vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Ben Skowronek Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-180/+150).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -160 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -180.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Los Angeles Rams will be forced to utilize backup QB Baker Mayfield this week, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
  • The Rams are a 6.5-point underdog this week, likely creating a passing game script.
  • The weatherman calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • THE BLITZ projects Ben Skowronek to be much more involved in his offense's passing offense this week (18.5% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (12.7% in games he has played).
  • Ben Skowronek's pass-catching performance improved this year, accumulating 2.8 yards per game compared to just 1.2 last year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Rams to be the 6th-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 58.6% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Rams to call the least offensive plays among all teams this week with 60.5 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Los Angeles Rams have called the least plays in football this year, averaging a mere 55.9 plays per game.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 30.3 pass attempts per game vs. the Green Bay Packers defense this year: least in football.
  • The Los Angeles Rams O-line ranks as the worst in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful impact on all pass attack stats across the board.

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