Ben Skowronek Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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NFL · Player Props

Ben Skowronek

WR · Los Angeles Rams

Receiving Yards

Arizona Cardinals vs Los Angeles Rams · Week 3, 2022

Updated Sep 25, 2022 11:30 PM UTC

Analysis

Ben Skowronek Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-105/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 26.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 23.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Rams to be the most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 64.7% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
The Los Angeles Rams offensive line grades out as the 5th-best in football since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong effect on all passing attack statistics across the board.
The Arizona Cardinals pass defense has allowed the 8th-highest Completion% in football (67.8%) vs. wideouts since the start of last season (67.8%).
The Los Angeles Rams offensive line has afforded their QB 2.59 seconds before getting pressured (2nd-best in the league since the start of last season), which has a positive impact on all pass game metrics across the board.

Favors Under

The Rams are a 3.5-point favorite this week, likely creating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Rams as the 3rd-slowest paced defense in the league (in a neutral context) right now, with opposing offenses averaging 28.46 seconds per play.
Opposing offenses have averaged 31.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Arizona Cardinals defense since the start of last season: 5th-least in the NFL.
Ben Skowronek has run a route on 31.3% of his team's passing plays since the start of last season, ranking him in the 22nd percentile among WRs.
Ben Skowronek has been among the bottom wide receivers in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a measly 13.0 yards per game while grading out in the 18th percentile among WRs.