Ben Skowronek Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Ben Skowronek

NFL · Player Props

Ben Skowronek

WR · Los Angeles Rams

Receiving TD

Los Angeles Rams vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 5, 2022

Updated Oct 9, 2022 11:15 PM UTC

Analysis

Ben Skowronek Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+363/-725).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -591 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -725.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 131.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The weather forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Opposing QBs have averaged 41.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Dallas Cowboys defense this year: 4th-most in the league.
Ben Skowronek has notched many more air yards this year (39.0 per game) than he did last year (18.0 per game).
Ben Skowronek's 28.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially higher this season than it was last season at 11.1.

Favors Under

The Rams are a 5-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
The Los Angeles Rams offensive line profiles as the worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative impact on all passing offense metrics across the board.
Ben Skowronek grades out in the 1st percentile among WRs as it relates to catching TDs this year, averaging a measly 0.00 per game.
The Dallas Cowboys pass defense has surrendered the 3rd-lowest Completion% in the NFL (57%) versus wide receivers this year (57.0%).
The Dallas Cowboys safeties project as the 6th-best group of safeties in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

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