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Ben Skowronek

Ben Skowronek Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 3

Arizona Cardinals vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Ben Skowronek Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+334/-630).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +437 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +334.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • THE BLITZ projects Ben Skowronek to be a much bigger part of his team's pass attack near the end zone this week (8.7% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (1.9% in games he has played).
  • The Los Angeles Rams offensive line grades out as the 5th-best in football since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong effect on all passing attack statistics across the board.
  • The Arizona Cardinals pass defense has allowed the 8th-highest Completion% in football (67.8%) vs. wideouts since the start of last season (67.8%).
  • The Arizona Cardinals defense has surrendered the most passing touchdowns in the NFL to WRs: 1.53 per game since the start of last season.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Rams are a 3.5-point favorite this week, likely creating a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Rams as the 3rd-slowest paced defense in the league (in a neutral context) right now, with opposing offenses averaging 28.46 seconds per play.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 31.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Arizona Cardinals defense since the start of last season: 5th-least in the NFL.
  • Ben Skowronek's 13.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) grades out among the worst in football: 23rd percentile for WRs.
  • Ben Skowronek grades out in the 1st percentile among WRs when it comes to catching touchdowns since the start of last season, averaging a mere 0.00 per game.

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