Ben Skowronek Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Ben Skowronek

NFL · Player Props

Ben Skowronek

WR · Los Angeles Rams

Receiving TD

Los Angeles Rams vs Las Vegas Raiders · Week 14, 2022

Updated Dec 9, 2022 1:16 AM UTC

Analysis

Ben Skowronek Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+416/-914).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -837 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -914.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Rams are a 6.5-point underdog in this game, indicating a passing game script.
The weatherman calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Opposing teams have averaged 36.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Las Vegas Raiders defense this year: 8th-most in the NFL.
THE BLITZ projects Ben Skowronek to be a more important option in his team's pass attack near the goal line this week (13.6% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (5.9% in games he has played).
Ben Skowronek has accumulated quite a few more air yards this season (30.0 per game) than he did last season (18.0 per game).

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 2nd-least plays run among all games this week at 125.5 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Los Angeles Rams have called the 10th-least plays in the NFL this year, totaling a measly 55.9 plays per game.
The Los Angeles Rams O-line grades out as the 3rd-worst in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful impact on all pass attack statistics across the board.
Ben Skowronek ranks in the 1st percentile among WRs when it comes to catching touchdowns this year, averaging just 0.00 per game.
The Los Angeles Rams have used play action on just 21.0% of their passing plays since the start of last season (5th-least in the NFL), which ultimately hampers passing efficiency.

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