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Baker Mayfield

Baker Mayfield TD Passes
Player Prop Week 8

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Atlanta Falcons

Baker Mayfield TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+136/-178).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -152 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -178.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast the Buccaneers as the 9th-most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 61.0% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

Right now, the 8th-most pass-centric team in the NFL near the goal line (58.6% adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is anticipated by the predictive model to see 132.5 total plays run: the highest number out of all the games this week.

In this week's contest, Baker Mayfield is projected by our trusted projection set to have the 5th-most pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 37.9.

Baker Mayfield's 70.7% Adjusted Completion% this year reflects a material growth in his passing accuracy over last year's 63.6% figure.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

As it relates to safeties in covering pass-catchers, Atlanta's group of safeties has been one of the most skilled this year, ranking as the 8th-best in football.

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