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Baker Mayfield

Baker Mayfield TD Passes
Player Prop Week 1

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Washington Commanders

Baker Mayfield TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-143/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +112 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The projections expect the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to be the 7th-most pass-focused team in the NFL near the goal line (adjusted for context) right now with a 59.8% red zone pass rate.

At the moment, the 7th-quickest paced offense in football (adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Buccaneers.

In racking up a whopping 38.9 pass attempts per game last year, Baker Mayfield slots in among the top quarterbacks in football (87th percentile) in this statistic.

The Commanders defense has been a glaring pass funnel last year, compelling opposing offenses to attempt the 8th-most passes in football (35.4 per game) last year.

With an exceptional ratio of 1.65 per game (76th percentile), Baker Mayfield places among the top touchdown passers in the NFL last year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This week's line implies a running game script for the Buccaneers, who are favored by 3.5 points.

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