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Baker Mayfield

Baker Mayfield TD Passes
Player Prop Week 18

Carolina Panthers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Baker Mayfield TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+105/-145).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +110 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At the present time, the 7th-most pass-oriented offense in football in the red zone (60.1% in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

With a stellar ratio of 1.75 per game (89th percentile), Baker Mayfield has been among the top touchdown throwers in football this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 4.5-point advantage, the Buccaneers are favored in this week's contest, suggesting more of an emphasis on running than their standard approach.

Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Buccaneers are anticipated by the projection model to run only 63.5 total plays in this game: the 8th-fewest on the slate this week.

The 9th-smallest volume of plays in the NFL have been run by the Buccaneers this year (just 56.3 per game on average).

The predictive model expects Baker Mayfield to attempt 31.8 passes in this week's contest, on average: the 10th-fewest out of all quarterbacks.

Opposing QBs teams have been disinclined to pass too much against the Panthers, averaging the fewest attempts in football (a measly 29.7 per game) this year.

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