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Baker Mayfield

Baker Mayfield TD Passes
Player Prop Week 15

Green Bay Packers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Baker Mayfield TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+130/-170).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game's line suggests a throwing game script for the Buccaneers, who are -3.5-point underdogs.

Our trusted projections expect the Buccaneers to be the 8th-most pass-oriented team in the league near the goal line (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 60.2% red zone pass rate.

This year, the porous Green Bay Packers defense has given up a staggering 71.6% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing quarterbacks: the 10th-highest rate in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Buccaneers are anticipated by the model to run only 63.4 total plays in this contest: the 6th-fewest among all teams this week.

In this week's contest, Baker Mayfield is projected by the predictive model to wind up with the 8th-fewest pass attempts among all QBs with 33.0.

Opposing offenses have averaged 33.7 pass attempts per game against the Green Bay Packers defense this year: 8th-fewest in football.

With a bad 61.3% Adjusted Completion% (14th percentile) this year, Baker Mayfield rates as one of the least accurate passers in football.

This year, the strong Green Bay Packers defense has conceded a mere 1.08 passing TDs per game to opposing offenses: the 2nd-best rate in football.

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