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Baker Mayfield

Baker Mayfield Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Carolina Panthers

Baker Mayfield Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game's line indicates an extreme rushing game script for the Buccaneers, who are a huge favorite by 7.5 points.

Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Buccaneers to run on 45.0% of their chances: the 8th-highest rate on the slate this week.

Baker Mayfield has run for a lot more yards per game (19.0) this season than he did last season (10.0).

Baker Mayfield's running efficiency has been refined this season, compiling 6.49 adjusted yards-per-carry compared to just 4.16 mark last season.

Baker Mayfield rates as one of the top QBs in the NFL at picking up extra ground yardage, averaging a stellar 2.69 yards-after-contact this year while ranking in the 98th percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The predictive model expects the Buccaneers to call the 6th-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 64.0 plays, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.

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