Baker Mayfield Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 17

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Baker Mayfield

NFL · Player Props

Baker Mayfield

QB · Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Rushing Yards

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Carolina Panthers · Week 17, 2024

Updated Dec 30, 2024 3:56 AM UTC

Analysis

Baker Mayfield Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game's line indicates an extreme rushing game script for the Buccaneers, who are a huge favorite by 9.5 points.
Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Buccaneers to run on 46.6% of their chances: the 8th-highest rate on the slate this week.
Baker Mayfield has run for a lot more yards per game (19.0) this season than he did last season (10.0).
Baker Mayfield's running efficiency has been refined this season, compiling 6.50 adjusted yards-per-carry compared to just 4.16 mark last season.
Baker Mayfield rates as one of the top QBs in the NFL at picking up extra ground yardage, averaging a stellar 2.60 yards-after-contact this year while ranking in the 95th percentile.

Favors Under

The model projects this game to have the 11th-slowest tempo out of all the games this week, averaging 26.41 seconds per play based on the play styles of each team and game dynamics.

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