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Baker Mayfield

Baker Mayfield Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Dallas Cowboys vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

 
 
 
Baker Mayfield Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • With a 4-point advantage, the Buccaneers are favored in this week's contest, suggesting more of a focus on running than their typical game plan.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is forecasted by the projection model to have 132.3 total plays run: the 5th-highest number out of all the games this week.
  • Baker Mayfield's 18.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this season shows a noteable progression in his rushing ability over last season's 10.0 rate.
  • Baker Mayfield's ground effectiveness has gotten a boost this year, notching 6.00 adjusted yards-per-carry compared to just 4.16 rate last year.
  • Baker Mayfield ranks as one of the leading QBs in football at picking up extra ground yardage, averaging an outstanding 2.69 yards-after-contact this year while grading out in the 98th percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may slide.

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