With a 4-point advantage, the Buccaneers are favored in this week's contest, suggesting more of a focus on running than their typical game plan.Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is forecasted by the projection model to have 132.3 total plays run: the 5th-highest number out of all the games this week.Baker Mayfield's 18.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this season shows a noteable progression in his rushing ability over last season's 10.0 rate.Baker Mayfield's ground effectiveness has gotten a boost this year, notching 6.00 adjusted yards-per-carry compared to just 4.16 rate last year.Baker Mayfield ranks as one of the leading QBs in football at picking up extra ground yardage, averaging an outstanding 2.69 yards-after-contact this year while grading out in the 98th percentile.
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