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Baker Mayfield

Baker Mayfield Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 14

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Las Vegas Raiders

Baker Mayfield Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

An extreme running game script is suggested by the Buccaneers being a huge 7-point favorite in this game.

Baker Mayfield's 18.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this season reflects a remarkable improvement in his running talent over last season's 10.0 figure.

Baker Mayfield's running efficiency has gotten better this season, accumulating 5.73 adjusted yards-per-carry vs just 4.16 figure last season.

With a stellar rate of 2.79 yards-after-contact (97th percentile), Baker Mayfield rates as one of the top rushing QBs in football this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Our trusted projections expect the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to be the 8th-least run-heavy offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 37.7% run rate.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is anticipated by the projections to have just 127.1 offensive plays run: the 4th-fewest out of all the games this week.

The pass games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm weather conditions (3-mph wind) being projected in this game, while rush volume may fall-off.

The Raiders defensive ends profile as the 2nd-best collection of DEs in the NFL this year in regard to stopping the run.

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