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Baker Mayfield

Baker Mayfield Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 13

Carolina Panthers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Baker Mayfield Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

With a 6.5-point advantage, the Buccaneers are favored this week, implying more of a focus on rushing than their typical game plan.

Baker Mayfield has rushed for quite a few more yards per game (18.0) this season than he did last season (10.0).

Baker Mayfield's running efficiency has gotten a boost this year, totaling 5.78 adjusted yards-per-carry vs a measly 4.16 mark last year.

With an outstanding total of 2.64 yards-after-contact (92nd percentile), Baker Mayfield places among the leading running QBs in the league this year.

This year, the deficient Panthers run defense has been torched for a colossal 174.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to opposing teams: the worst in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

At the moment, the 4th-least run-focused offense in football (37.0% adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

Accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Buccaneers are predicted by the model to run just 63.7 offensive plays in this contest: the 7th-fewest among all teams this week.

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