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Baker Mayfield

Baker Mayfield Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 12

New York Giants vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Baker Mayfield Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Buccaneers are a 6-point favorite in this week's game, indicating a running game script.

The weather report calls for 14-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.

Baker Mayfield's 17.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this season reflects a remarkable progression in his rushing proficiency over last season's 10.0 rate.

Baker Mayfield's 5.64 adjusted yards per carry (YPC) this year marks a noteable improvement in his running skills over last year's 4.16 rate.

Baker Mayfield profiles as one of the leading QBs in football at picking up extra running yardage, averaging a terrific 2.83 yards-after-contact this year while grading out in the 97th percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

At the moment, the 3rd-least run-centric team in the league (36.8% adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is predicted by the predictive model to see only 126.8 plays on offense run: the 2nd-fewest out of all the games this week.

The New York Giants defensive tackles project as the best group of DTs in the league this year when it comes to defending the run.

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