My Account Log Out

reorder

Baker Mayfield

Baker Mayfield Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 1

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Washington Commanders

Baker Mayfield Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (+110/-140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ +110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This week's line implies a running game script for the Buccaneers, who are favored by 3.5 points.

At the moment, the 7th-quickest paced offense in football (adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Buccaneers.

The Commanders defense has produced the 6th-worst efficiency against opposing run games last year, giving up 4.69 adjusted yards-per-carry.

The Washington defensive tackles profile as the 5th-worst group of DTs in the league last year in regard to stopping the run.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

At the moment, the 8th-least run-heavy offense in the NFL (37.7% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Buccaneers.

With a very bad record of 4.2 adjusted yards per carry (YPC) (11th percentile), Baker Mayfield rates as one of the worst running QBs in football last year.

More Baker Mayfield Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™