Baker Mayfield Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Baker Mayfield

NFL · Player Props

Baker Mayfield

QB · Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Rushing Yards

Green Bay Packers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Week 15, 2023

Updated Dec 17, 2023 6:06 PM UTC

Analysis

Baker Mayfield Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-120/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Baker Mayfield has rushed for quite a few more yards per game (12.0) this year than he did last year (7.0).
Baker Mayfield's 4.15 adjusted yards per carry (YPC) this season signifies a substantial gain in his rushing proficiency over last season's 3.35 mark.
Opposing squads have rushed for the 2nd-most adjusted yards in the NFL (144 per game) against the Packers defense this year.
As it relates to the safeties' role in stopping the run, Green Bay's collection of safeties has been awful this year, ranking as the 4th-worst in the NFL. in the NFL.

Favors Under

This game's line suggests a throwing game script for the Buccaneers, who are -3.5-point underdogs.
Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Buccaneers are anticipated by the model to run only 63.4 total plays in this contest: the 6th-fewest among all teams this week.
The Buccaneers O-line ranks as the 5th-worst in the NFL last year at opening holes for runners.

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