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Baker Mayfield

Baker Mayfield Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 11

San Francisco 49ers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Baker Mayfield Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-114/-114).

  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers feature a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Dave Canales, and the model projects their pass/run mix to skew 5.0% more towards rushing than it did last year (context-neutralized).
  • Baker Mayfield's 14.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year conveys a noteable gain in his running prowess over last year's 7.0 rate.
  • Baker Mayfield's running efficiency has gotten a boost this season, accumulating 4.48 adjusted yards-per-carry compared to a mere 3.35 mark last season.

  • This week's line indicates an extreme passing game script for the Buccaneers, who are giant -13.5-point underdogs.
  • Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Buccaneers to run on 37.0% of their opportunities: the 2nd-lowest frequency among all teams this week.
  • Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers are anticipated by the projections to run just 60.0 offensive plays in this game: the lowest number on the slate this week.
  • When it comes to run-blocking (and the significance it has on all run game stats), the offensive line of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers ranks as the 5th-worst in football last year.
  • This year, the tough San Francisco 49ers run defense has yielded a paltry 80.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to opposing squads: the 4th-best in the league.

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