My Account Log Out
 
 
Baker Mayfield

Baker Mayfield Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Tennessee Titans

 
 
 
Baker Mayfield Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The projections expect the Tampa Bay Buccaneers offensive strategy to tilt 4.8% more towards running than it did last season (in a neutral context) with offensive coordinator Dave Canales now calling the plays.
  • Baker Mayfield has rushed for substantially more yards per game (15.0) this season than he did last season (7.0).
  • Baker Mayfield's rushing efficiency has gotten better this season, accumulating 4.58 adjusted yards-per-carry compared to just 3.35 mark last season.
  • Baker Mayfield has been one of the best QBs in the NFL at grinding out extra running yardage, averaging a fantastic 3.26 yards-after-contact this year while ranking in the 88th percentile.
  • The Tennessee Titans defensive ends grade out as the 5th-worst group of DEs in the NFL this year in regard to defending the run.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers are expected by our trusted projection set to call only 62.5 total plays in this game: the 5th-lowest number on the slate this week.
  • The Buccaneers have called the 10th-fewest plays in football this year, averaging just 56.8 plays per game.
  • In regards to opening holes for runners (and the effect it has on all run game metrics), the O-line of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers grades out as the 5th-worst in football last year.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2022 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™