My Account Log Out
Baker Mayfield

Baker Mayfield Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 1

Minnesota Vikings vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Baker Mayfield Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-129/-106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -129.
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Dave Canales, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 7.5% more towards rushing than it did last season (adjusted for context).
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 130.6 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have called the most plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling a monstrous 63.8 plays per game.

  • The Buccaneers are a 4.5-point underdog this week, indicating a passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers as the 10th-least run-centric offense among all teams this week with a 39.5% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers O-line ranks as the 5th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season at blocking for the run game.
  • Baker Mayfield's ground effectiveness (3.35 yards per carry) has been some of the worst in the league since the start of last season (5th percentile among quarterbacks).

    © 2022 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™