My Account Log Out
 
 
Baker Mayfield

Baker Mayfield Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 18

Seattle Seahawks vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Baker Mayfield Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects Baker Mayfield to be a more integral piece of his offense's run game this week (12.1% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (4.2% in games he has played).
  • Baker Mayfield has been among the top QBs in the NFL at picking up extra ground yardage, averaging an impressive 2.62 yards-after-contact this year while grading out in the 81st percentile.
  • Opposing offenses have rushed for the 3rd-most yards in football (153 per game) versus the Seattle Seahawks defense this year.
  • The Seattle Seahawks defensive ends project as the 4th-worst group of DEs in the NFL this year when it comes to run defense.
  • The Los Angeles Rams have gone no-huddle on 15.8% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (3rd-most in the league). This speeds up the pace, leading to more volume and stat production.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Los Angeles Rams will be starting backup quarterback Baker Mayfield in this contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
  • The Rams are a 5.5-point underdog this week, likely creating a passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Rams to run the 4th-least total plays among all teams this week with 62.6 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Los Angeles Rams have run the 6th-least plays in the league this year, totaling just 54.3 plays per game.
  • Baker Mayfield has grinded out a measly 6.0 yards per game on the ground this year, one of the smallest figures in the NFL among QBs (20th percentile).

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2022 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™