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Baker Mayfield

Baker Mayfield Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 1

Carolina Panthers vs Cleveland Browns

 
 
 
Baker Mayfield Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Carolina Panthers offense to be the 2nd-quickest paced team in the league (adjusted for context) right now, averaging 25.65 seconds per play.
  • THE BLITZ projects Baker Mayfield to be a more integral piece of his team's rushing attack this week (11.4% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (1.2% in games he has played).
  • The Cleveland Browns defensive tackles project as the 7th-worst collection of DTs in the league since the start of last season in regard to defending the run.
  • The Carolina Panthers have gone no-huddle on 11.3% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (10th-most in the league). This quickens the pace, leading to more volume and stat-padding.
  • The Carolina Panthers have risked going for it on 4th down 23.9% of the time since the start of last season (5th-most in the NFL), which typically means more offensive volume, more touchdown potential, and higher offensive stats across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • THE BLITZ projects Baker Mayfield to total 3.0 carries in this contest, on average: the 7th-least of all QBs.
  • The Carolina Panthers O-line grades out as the 7th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season at blocking for the run game.
  • Baker Mayfield has been among the bottom quarterbacks in the NFL at generating extra running yardage, averaging just 1.43 yards-after-contact since the start of last season while checking in at the 21st percentile.
  • Opposing teams have run for the 10th-least yards in football (just 107 per game) vs. the Cleveland Browns defense since the start of last season.

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