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Baker Mayfield

Baker Mayfield Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 8

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Atlanta Falcons

Baker Mayfield Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 222.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 228.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 222.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast the Buccaneers as the 9th-most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 61.0% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is anticipated by the predictive model to see 132.5 total plays run: the highest number out of all the games this week.

In this week's contest, Baker Mayfield is projected by our trusted projection set to have the 5th-most pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 37.9.

Baker Mayfield's 275.0 adjusted passing yards per game this year illustrates a meaningful progression in his passing ability over last year's 231.0 mark.

Baker Mayfield's 70.7% Adjusted Completion% this year reflects a material growth in his passing accuracy over last year's 63.6% figure.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Atlanta Falcons defense has excelled when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 3.65 yards-after-the-catch this year: the fewest in the NFL.

As it relates to safeties in covering pass-catchers, Atlanta's group of safeties has been one of the most skilled this year, ranking as the 8th-best in football.

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