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Baker Mayfield

Baker Mayfield Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 6

New Orleans Saints vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Baker Mayfield Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 236.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 233.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 236.5 @ +105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Buccaneers to pass on 62.1% of their plays: the 3rd-greatest clip on the slate this week.

The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may fall-off.

This week, Baker Mayfield is anticipated by the predictive model to have the 9th-most pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 35.5.

The New Orleans Saints defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, tempting opposing offenses to attempt the 3rd-most passes in the NFL (41.4 per game) this year.

Baker Mayfield has been one of the best QBs in the NFL this year, averaging an exceptional 248.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 75th percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Buccaneers are expected by the predictive model to call only 62.0 offensive plays in this contest: the 3rd-lowest number among all teams this week.

The 5th-fewest plays in the NFL have been called by the Buccaneers this year (a measly 53.2 per game on average).

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