Baker Mayfield Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 18

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Baker Mayfield

NFL · Player Props

Baker Mayfield

QB · Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Passing Yards

Carolina Panthers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Week 18, 2023

Updated Jan 8, 2024 1:11 AM EST

Analysis

Baker Mayfield Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 226.5 (-130/+100).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Baker Mayfield has thrown for a lot more adjusted yards per game (237.0) this season than he did last season (63.0).
Baker Mayfield's throwing efficiency has gotten better this season, totaling 7.09 adjusted yards-per-target compared to just 5.89 mark last season.

Favors Under

With a 4.5-point advantage, the Buccaneers are favored in this week's contest, suggesting more of an emphasis on running than their standard approach.
Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Buccaneers are anticipated by the projection model to run only 63.5 total plays in this game: the 8th-fewest on the slate this week.
The 9th-smallest volume of plays in the NFL have been run by the Buccaneers this year (just 56.3 per game on average).
The predictive model expects Baker Mayfield to attempt 31.8 passes in this week's contest, on average: the 10th-fewest out of all quarterbacks.
Opposing QBs teams have been disinclined to pass too much against the Panthers, averaging the fewest attempts in football (a measly 29.7 per game) this year.

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