Baker Mayfield Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 2

NFL · Player Props

Baker Mayfield

QB · Carolina Panthers

Passing Yards

New York Giants vs Carolina Panthers · Week 2, 2022

Updated Sep 18, 2022 7:30 PM EST

Analysis

Baker Mayfield Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 218.5 (-110/-120).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Carolina Panthers boast a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Ben McAdoo, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 1.8% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized).
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 131.4 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Carolina Panthers have run the 10th-most plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a colossal 63.6 plays per game.
Opposing QBs have averaged 35.9 pass attempts per game vs. the New York Giants defense since the start of last season: 9th-most in the NFL.
Opposing QBs have passed for the 10th-most yards in the league (240.0 per game) vs. the New York Giants defense since the start of last season.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Carolina Panthers to be the 11th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 57.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Carolina Panthers O-line profiles as the worst in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a negative effect on all pass game statistics across the board.
Baker Mayfield has been among the least accurate QBs in the league since the start of last season with a 61.3% Completion%, checking in at the 25th percentile.
The New York Giants defense has performed very well when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 4.71 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 4th-least in the NFL.
The Carolina Panthers offensive line has given their QB a mere 2.39 seconds before getting pressured (4th-worst in football since the start of last season), which has a harmful impact on all air attack statistics across the board.