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Baker Mayfield

Baker Mayfield Pass Attempts
Player Prop Week 2

Detroit Lions vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

 
 
 
Baker Mayfield Pass Attempts Prop is currently Over/Under 35.5 (-108/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 33.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 35.5 @ -108.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This week's line implies a passing game script for the Buccaneers, who are -6-point underdogs.
  • Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Buccaneers to pass on 64.0% of their chances: the 2nd-highest frequency on the slate this week.
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is expected by the model to have 129.8 total plays run: the 5th-most out of all the games this week.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • The predictive model expects Baker Mayfield to throw 37.7 passes in this week's game, on balance: the 4th-most out of all quarterbacks.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The 6th-lowest number of plays in the NFL have been run by the Buccaneers since the start of last season (a lowly 56.4 per game on average).

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