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Baker Mayfield

Baker Mayfield Pass Attempts
Player Prop Week 6

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Detroit Lions

 
 
 
Baker Mayfield Pass Attempts Prop is currently Over/Under 32.5 (-143/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 32.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 32.5 @ -143.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At a -3-point disadvantage, the Buccaneers are underdogs in this week's game, indicating more of a reliance on moving the ball through the air than their standard game plan.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 43.6 pass attempts per game versus the Detroit Lions defense this year: most in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Buccaneers have a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Dave Canales, and the projections expect their pass/run mix to tilt 6.4% more towards rushing than it did last year (adjusted for context).
  • The projections expect the Buccaneers as the 10th-least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 56.5% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Buccaneers are forecasted by the projection model to call only 62.9 plays on offense in this game: the 7th-lowest number on the slate this week.
  • The 10th-lowest number of plays in football have been run by the Tampa Bay Buccaneers this year (a lowly 56.2 per game on average).
  • This week, Baker Mayfield is projected by our trusted projection set to wind up with the 9th-fewest pass attempts among all QBs with 32.7.

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