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Baker Mayfield Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+105/-140).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +110 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +105.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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The Tampa Bay offensive line ranks as the 4th-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a strong effect on all passing game statistics across the board.Baker Mayfield has racked up 1.06 interceptions per game this year, grading out in the 8th percentile among quarterbacks.Carolina's defense profiles as the 7th-worst in football this year as it relates to forcing interceptions, compiling a lowly 0.47 per game.As it relates to cornerbacks in defending pass-catchers, Carolina's collection of CBs has been lousy this year, ranking as the 7th-worst in football.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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This game's line indicates an extreme rushing game script for the Buccaneers, who are a huge favorite by 7.5 points.The projections expect the Tampa Bay Buccaneers as the 8th-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 55.0% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.The predictive model expects the Buccaneers to call the 6th-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 64.0 plays, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.The leading projections forecast Baker Mayfield to attempt 33.1 passes in this contest, on balance: the 8th-fewest among all QBs.Opposing QBs teams have been reluctant to lean on the pass against the Carolina Panthers, totaling the 9th-fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 32.9 per game) this year.
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