Baker Mayfield Interceptions - Player Prop Bet Week 17

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Baker Mayfield

NFL · Player Props

Baker Mayfield

QB · Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Interceptions

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Carolina Panthers · Week 17, 2024

Updated Dec 30, 2024 12:41 AM EST

Analysis

Baker Mayfield Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +110 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Tampa Bay offensive line ranks as the 4th-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a strong effect on all passing game statistics across the board.
Baker Mayfield has racked up 1.06 interceptions per game this year, grading out in the 5th percentile among quarterbacks.
Carolina's defense profiles as the 9th-worst in football this year as it relates to forcing interceptions, compiling a lowly 0.54 per game.
As it relates to cornerbacks in defending pass-catchers, Carolina's collection of CBs has been lousy this year, ranking as the 7th-worst in football.

Favors Under

This game's line indicates an extreme rushing game script for the Buccaneers, who are a huge favorite by 9.5 points.
The projections expect the Tampa Bay Buccaneers as the 8th-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 53.4% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
The model projects this game to have the 11th-slowest tempo out of all the games this week, averaging 26.41 seconds per play based on the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
The leading projections forecast Baker Mayfield to attempt 32.5 passes in this contest, on balance: the 9th-fewest among all QBs.
Opposing QBs teams have been reluctant to lean on the pass against the Carolina Panthers, totaling the 9th-fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 32.9 per game) this year.

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