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Baker Mayfield

Baker Mayfield Interceptions
Player Prop Week 15

Los Angeles Chargers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

 
 
 
Baker Mayfield Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-150/+116).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ +118 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ +116.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At the moment, the 8th-most pass-centric offense in football (62.6% adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Buccaneers.
  • The pass attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm weather conditions (0-mph wind) being called for in this game, while run volume may suffer.
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers O-line ranks as the 4th-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive influence on all air attack metrics across the board.
  • In racking up a colossal 1.08 interceptions per game this year, Baker Mayfield slots in among the bottom QBs in the NFL (5th percentile).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects this game to see the 3rd-fewest plays run out of all the games this week at 127.3 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Los Angeles Chargers have intercepted 0.97 throws per game this year, grading out as the 6th-best defense in football by this statistic.
  • The Los Angeles Chargers linebackers rank as the 3rd-best collection of LBs in the NFL this year in defending pass-catchers.

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