Baker Mayfield Interceptions - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Baker Mayfield

NFL · Player Props

Baker Mayfield

QB · Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Interceptions

Los Angeles Chargers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Week 15, 2024

Updated Dec 15, 2024 9:06 PM UTC

Analysis

Baker Mayfield Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-150/+116).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ +118 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ +116.

Key Factors

Favors Over

At the moment, the 8th-most pass-centric offense in football (62.6% adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Buccaneers.
The pass attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm weather conditions (0-mph wind) being called for in this game, while run volume may suffer.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers O-line ranks as the 4th-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive influence on all air attack metrics across the board.
In racking up a colossal 1.08 interceptions per game this year, Baker Mayfield slots in among the bottom QBs in the NFL (5th percentile).

Favors Under

The model projects this game to see the 3rd-fewest plays run out of all the games this week at 127.3 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Los Angeles Chargers have intercepted 0.97 throws per game this year, grading out as the 6th-best defense in football by this statistic.
The Los Angeles Chargers linebackers rank as the 3rd-best collection of LBs in the NFL this year in defending pass-catchers.

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