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Baker Mayfield

Baker Mayfield Interceptions
Player Prop Week 13

Carolina Panthers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

 
 
 
Baker Mayfield Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-132/+102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -102 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -132.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers O-line grades out as the 7th-best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong influence on all passing game metrics across the board.
  • Carolina's defense ranks as the 7th-worst in the league this year as it relates to inducing interceptions, totaling a measly 0.45 per game.
  • As it relates to safeties in covering receivers, Carolina's safety corps has been easily exploitable this year, grading out as the 6th-worst in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 6.5-point advantage, the Buccaneers are favored this week, implying more of a focus on rushing than their typical game plan.
  • Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to pass on 55.8% of their plays: the 11th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
  • Accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Buccaneers are predicted by the model to run just 63.7 offensive plays in this contest: the 7th-fewest among all teams this week.
  • The predictive model expects Baker Mayfield to attempt 33.3 passes in this week's contest, on average: the 10th-fewest among all quarterbacks.

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