Baker Mayfield Interceptions - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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NFL · Player Props

Baker Mayfield

QB · Carolina Panthers

Interceptions

Carolina Panthers vs San Francisco 49ers · Week 5, 2022

Updated Oct 9, 2022 11:15 PM UTC

Analysis

Baker Mayfield Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-165/+135).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Carolina Panthers will have a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Ben McAdoo, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 3.1% more towards passing than it did last year (in a neutral context).
The Panthers are a 6-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Carolina Panthers as the 9th-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 62.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The weather report calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
The Carolina Panthers offensive line profiles as the 6th-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a positive impact on all pass game statistics across the board.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Panthers to call the least plays on offense among all teams this week with 62.5 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Carolina Panthers have run the 3rd-least plays in the NFL this year, totaling a lowly 52.2 plays per game.
Opposing offenses have averaged 33.8 pass attempts per game vs. the San Francisco 49ers defense this year: 10th-least in the NFL.
The San Francisco 49ers safeties grade out as the best collection of safeties in football this year in covering receivers.
The Carolina Panthers offensive line has allowed their QB a mere 2.39 seconds before getting pressured (4th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a negative effect on all air attack stats across the board.