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Baker Mayfield

Baker Mayfield Interceptions
Player Prop Week 5

Carolina Panthers vs San Francisco 49ers

 
 
 
Baker Mayfield Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-165/+135).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Carolina Panthers will have a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Ben McAdoo, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 3.1% more towards passing than it did last year (in a neutral context).
  • The Panthers are a 6-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Carolina Panthers as the 9th-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 62.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The weather report calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • The Carolina Panthers offensive line profiles as the 6th-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a positive impact on all pass game statistics across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Panthers to call the least plays on offense among all teams this week with 62.5 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Carolina Panthers have run the 3rd-least plays in the NFL this year, totaling a lowly 52.2 plays per game.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 33.8 pass attempts per game vs. the San Francisco 49ers defense this year: 10th-least in the NFL.
  • The San Francisco 49ers safeties grade out as the best collection of safeties in football this year in covering receivers.
  • The Carolina Panthers offensive line has allowed their QB a mere 2.39 seconds before getting pressured (4th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a negative effect on all air attack stats across the board.

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