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Baker Mayfield

Baker Mayfield Interceptions
Player Prop Week 18

Seattle Seahawks vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Baker Mayfield Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -135.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Los Angeles Rams will be starting backup quarterback Baker Mayfield in this contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
  • The Rams are a 5.5-point underdog this week, likely creating a passing game script.
  • The Seattle Seahawks linebackers grade out as the 4th-worst collection of LBs in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.
  • The Los Angeles Rams offensive line has afforded their QB 2.59 seconds before getting pressured (2nd-best in the league since the start of last season), which has a positive impact on all air attack metrics across the board.
  • The Seattle Seahawks have stacked the box against opponents on 19.9% of their plays since the start of last season, 7th-most in the league. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Rams to run the 4th-least total plays among all teams this week with 62.6 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Los Angeles Rams have run the 6th-least plays in the league this year, totaling just 54.3 plays per game.
  • Baker Mayfield has attempted a measly 9.6 passes per game this year, ranking in the 6th percentile among QBs.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 33.3 pass attempts per game versus the Seattle Seahawks defense this year: 9th-least in the league.
  • The Los Angeles Rams O-line grades out as the 7th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative impact on all passing game metrics across the board.

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