Baker Mayfield Interceptions - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Baker Mayfield

NFL · Player Props

Baker Mayfield

QB · Los Angeles Rams

Interceptions

Green Bay Packers vs Los Angeles Rams · Week 15, 2022

Updated Dec 20, 2022 12:16 AM EST

Analysis

Baker Mayfield Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-185/+155).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Los Angeles Rams will be forced to utilize backup QB Baker Mayfield this week, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
The Rams are a 6.5-point underdog this week, likely creating a passing game script.
The weatherman calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
The Green Bay Packers safeties profile as the worst collection of safeties in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.
The Los Angeles Rams offensive line has afforded their QB 2.59 seconds before getting pressured (2nd-best in the league since the start of last season), which has a positive impact on all pass attack statistics across the board.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Rams to be the 6th-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 58.6% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Rams to call the least offensive plays among all teams this week with 60.5 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Los Angeles Rams have called the least plays in football this year, averaging a mere 55.9 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Baker Mayfield to attempt 31.7 passes this week, on average: the least of all quarterbacks.
Opposing offenses have averaged 30.3 pass attempts per game vs. the Green Bay Packers defense this year: least in football.

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