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Baker Mayfield

Baker Mayfield Completions
Player Prop Week 9

Kansas City Chiefs vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

 
 
 
Baker Mayfield Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 22.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 23.5 @ -105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At a -8.5-point disadvantage, the Buccaneers are heavy underdogs in this week's game, suggesting much more of a focus on throwing than their typical approach.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to be the 3rd-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 63.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is forecasted by the projections to have 130.0 total plays run: the 5th-most out of all the games this week.
  • In throwing a colossal 35.9 pass attempts per game this year, Baker Mayfield places among the top QBs in the NFL (90th percentile) in this respect.
  • When it comes to pocket protection (and the strong effect it has on all pass attack statistics), the O-line of the Buccaneers grades out as the 8th-best in football this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • When it comes to cornerbacks in pass coverage, Kansas City's CB corps has been tremendous this year, ranking as the 9th-best in the NFL.

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