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Baker Mayfield

Baker Mayfield Completions
Player Prop Week 7

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
Baker Mayfield Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 23.5 @ -135.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At a -4-point disadvantage, the Buccaneers are underdogs in this week's game, implying more of a focus on passing than their typical approach.
  • Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Buccaneers to pass on 62.5% of their downs: the 4th-greatest rate on the slate this week.
  • The Ravens defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, allowing opposing offenses to attempt the 4th-most passes in the league (40.5 per game) this year.
  • Baker Mayfield's 70.2% Adjusted Completion% this year reflects an impressive growth in his throwing accuracy over last year's 63.6% rate.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Buccaneers are predicted by the projections to call just 63.1 offensive plays in this game: the 10th-fewest on the slate this week.
  • The Buccaneers have called the 6th-fewest plays in football this year, averaging a lowly 54.8 plays per game.
  • The Baltimore Ravens linebackers project as the 10th-best group of LBs in the league this year in regard to pass rush.

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