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Baker Mayfield

Baker Mayfield Completions
Player Prop Week 17

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Carolina Panthers

Baker Mayfield Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-145/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -145.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Tampa Bay offensive line ranks as the 4th-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a strong effect on all passing game statistics across the board.

Baker Mayfield's 70.5% Adjusted Completion% this season conveys a remarkable growth in his throwing precision over last season's 63.6% figure.

This year, the porous Panthers defense has yielded a massive 73.3% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing teams: the 6th-largest rate in football.

As it relates to cornerbacks in defending pass-catchers, Carolina's collection of CBs has been lousy this year, ranking as the 7th-worst in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This game's line indicates an extreme rushing game script for the Buccaneers, who are a huge favorite by 9.5 points.

The projections expect the Tampa Bay Buccaneers as the 8th-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 53.4% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

The model projects this game to have the 11th-slowest tempo out of all the games this week, averaging 26.41 seconds per play based on the play styles of each team and game dynamics.

The leading projections forecast Baker Mayfield to attempt 32.5 passes in this contest, on balance: the 9th-fewest among all QBs.

Opposing QBs teams have been reluctant to lean on the pass against the Carolina Panthers, totaling the 9th-fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 32.9 per game) this year.

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