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Baker Mayfield

Baker Mayfield Completions
Player Prop Week 16

Dallas Cowboys vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

 
 
 
Baker Mayfield Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-150/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -150.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is forecasted by the projection model to have 132.3 total plays run: the 5th-highest number out of all the games this week.
  • The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may slide.
  • The Buccaneers offensive line profiles as the 4th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive influence on all passing attack metrics across the board.
  • Baker Mayfield's 70.5% Adjusted Completion% this year illustrates a noteable progression in his throwing precision over last year's 63.6% mark.
  • The Cowboys linebackers grade out as the 7th-worst LB corps in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 4-point advantage, the Buccaneers are favored in this week's contest, suggesting more of a focus on running than their typical game plan.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 31.1 pass attempts per game against the Cowboys defense this year: 5th-fewest in football.

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